Ultraviolet Radiation evolution during the 21st century
Kévin Lamy
(1)
,
Béatrice Josse
(2)
,
Thierry Portafaix
(1)
,
Hassan Bencherif
(1)
,
Sophie Godin-Beekmann
(3)
,
Colette Brogniez
(4)
,
N. L. Abraham
(5)
,
H. Akiyoshi
(6)
,
A. T. Archibald
(5)
,
Slimane Bekki
(3)
,
N. Butchart
(7)
,
Martyn P. Chipperfield
(8)
,
R. Currie
(5)
,
Glauco Di Genova
(9)
,
R. R. Garcia
(10)
,
Makoto Deushi
(11)
,
Sandip Dhomse
(8)
,
B. N. Duncan
(12)
,
M. I. Hegglin
(13)
,
L. W. Horowitz
(14)
,
P. Jöckel
(15)
,
D. Kinnison
(10)
,
J. F. Lamarque
(10)
,
M. Y. Lin
(14)
,
E. Mancini
(16)
,
Marion Marchand
(3)
,
Virginie Marécal
(2)
,
Martine Michou
(2)
,
Olaf Morgenstern
(17)
,
F. M. O'Connor
(7)
,
T. Nagashima
(6)
,
L. D. Oman
(12)
,
G. Pitari
(16)
,
D. Plummer
(18)
,
J. A. Pyle
(5)
,
Laura E. Revell
(19, 20)
,
E. Rozanov
(19)
,
D Saint‐martin
(2)
,
J. F. Scinocca
(18)
,
A. Stenke
(19)
,
S. E. Strahan
(12)
,
K. Stone
(21)
,
K. Sudo
(22)
,
T. Y. Tanaka
(11)
,
S. Tilmes
(10)
,
Y. Yamashita
(6)
,
K. Yoshida
(11)
,
G. Zeng
(23)
1
LACy -
Laboratoire de l'Atmosphère et des Cyclones
2 CNRM - Centre national de recherches météorologiques
3 STRATO - LATMOS
4 LOA - Laboratoire d’Optique Atmosphérique - UMR 8518
5 Department of Chemistry [Cambridge, UK]
6 NIES - National Institute for Environmental Studies
7 MOHC - Met Office Hadley Centre
8 SEE - School of Earth and Environment [Leeds]
9 UNIVAQ - Università degli Studi dell'Aquila = University of L'Aquila = Université de L'Aquila
10 NCAR - National Center for Atmospheric Research [Boulder]
11 MRI - Meteorological Research Institute [Tsukuba]
12 GSFC - NASA Goddard Space Flight Center
13 Department of Meteorology [Reading]
14 GFDL - NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory
15 IPA - DLR Institut für Physik der Atmosphäre = DLR Institute of Atmospheric Physics
16 Dipartimento di Scienze Fisiche e Chimiche [L'Aquila]
17 NIWA - National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research [Lauder]
18 ECCC - Environment and Climate Change Canada
19 IAC - Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science [Zürich]
20 Bodeker Scientific
21 School of Earth Sciences [Melbourne]
22 Graduate School of Environmental Studies [Nagoya]
23 NIWA - National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research [Auckland]
2 CNRM - Centre national de recherches météorologiques
3 STRATO - LATMOS
4 LOA - Laboratoire d’Optique Atmosphérique - UMR 8518
5 Department of Chemistry [Cambridge, UK]
6 NIES - National Institute for Environmental Studies
7 MOHC - Met Office Hadley Centre
8 SEE - School of Earth and Environment [Leeds]
9 UNIVAQ - Università degli Studi dell'Aquila = University of L'Aquila = Université de L'Aquila
10 NCAR - National Center for Atmospheric Research [Boulder]
11 MRI - Meteorological Research Institute [Tsukuba]
12 GSFC - NASA Goddard Space Flight Center
13 Department of Meteorology [Reading]
14 GFDL - NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory
15 IPA - DLR Institut für Physik der Atmosphäre = DLR Institute of Atmospheric Physics
16 Dipartimento di Scienze Fisiche e Chimiche [L'Aquila]
17 NIWA - National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research [Lauder]
18 ECCC - Environment and Climate Change Canada
19 IAC - Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science [Zürich]
20 Bodeker Scientific
21 School of Earth Sciences [Melbourne]
22 Graduate School of Environmental Studies [Nagoya]
23 NIWA - National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research [Auckland]
Kévin Lamy
- Function : Author
- PersonId : 1023496
- ORCID : 0000-0002-9115-1319
Béatrice Josse
- Function : Author
- PersonId : 1087454
- IdHAL : beatrice-josse
Thierry Portafaix
- Function : Author
- PersonId : 9097
- IdHAL : portafaix-thierry
- IdRef : 101326130
Hassan Bencherif
- Function : Author
- PersonId : 173939
- IdHAL : hassan-bencherif
- ORCID : 0000-0003-1815-0667
- IdRef : 128778776
Sophie Godin-Beekmann
- Function : Author
- PersonId : 753395
- IdHAL : sophie-godin-beekmann
- ORCID : 0000-0002-3903-3040
- IdRef : 095297642
Slimane Bekki
- Function : Author
- PersonId : 741080
- IdHAL : slimane-bekki
- ORCID : 0000-0002-5538-0800
- IdRef : 03348824X
Makoto Deushi
- Function : Author
- PersonId : 765111
- ORCID : 0000-0002-0373-3918
P. Jöckel
- Function : Author
- PersonId : 850450
Marion Marchand
- Function : Author
- PersonId : 740730
- IdHAL : marion-marchand
- ORCID : 0000-0003-2220-383X
- IdRef : 070160856
Virginie Marécal
- Function : Author
- PersonId : 174537
- IdHAL : virginie-marecal
- ORCID : 0000-0003-1077-909X
- IdRef : 136273777
Martine Michou
- Function : Author
- PersonId : 764650
- ORCID : 0000-0002-1751-3326
Olaf Morgenstern
- Function : Author
- PersonId : 978242
E. Rozanov
- Function : Author
- PersonId : 850868
D Saint‐martin
- Function : Author
- PersonId : 803830
- ORCID : 0000-0002-8478-6914
Abstract
In the context of a changing climate, the acceleration of the Brewer-Dobson circulation [Butchart 2014] leadsto a decrease of the ozone total column in the tropics. This decrease affects directly surface ultraviolet radiation,which are already very high in this area. Following the work of (Bais et al., 2011), (Butchart, 2014)and (Hegglin & Shepherd, 2009) on the future evolution of surface irradiance derived from Chemistry ClimateModels (CCM) projections, we projected here surface irradiance from 2010 to 2100 with focus on the tropics.We used the latest chemistry climate projection exercise ; Chemistry Climate Model Initiative (CCMI) coupledwith a radiative transfer model (TUV (Madronich, 1993)) to calculate the evolution of surface Ultravioletradiation throughout the 21st century. Ultraviolet Index (UVi) has been specifically considered (McKenzie,Matthews, & Johnston, 1991).At first, simulation from RefC2 Chemistry Climate Model Initiative have been coupled with a radiativetransfer model, in order to obtained modeled UV index (UVi-M). UVi-M is then compared against availablesatellite ultraviolet radiation observations (OMI OMUVbd product) between 2005 and 2016. Statistical differenceand variance have been analysed versus different parameters: geographical location, model or ensembleof model outputs used in the radiative transfer calculation.
Domains
Ocean, Atmosphere| Origin | Files produced by the author(s) |
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