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Probabilities of electoral outcomes: from three-candidate to four-candidate elections

Abdelhalim El Ouafdi 1 Dominique Lepelley 1 Hatem Smaoui 1
1 CEMOI - Centre d'Économie et de Management de l'Océan Indien
Abstract : The main purpose of this paper is to compute the theoretical likelihood of some electoral outcomes under the impartial anonymous culture in four-candidate elections by using the last versions of software like LattE or Normaliz. By comparison with the three-candidate case, our results allow to analyze the impact of the number of candidates on the occurrence of these voting outcomes.
Keywords : Voting rules Voting paradoxes Condorcet efficiency Condorcet loser Manipulability
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Submitted on : Thursday, January 27, 2022 - 7:04:11 AM
Last modification on : Friday, January 28, 2022 - 3:32:10 AM

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Abdelhalim El Ouafdi, Dominique Lepelley, Hatem Smaoui. Probabilities of electoral outcomes: from three-candidate to four-candidate elections. Theory and Decision, Springer Verlag, 2020, 88 (2), pp.205-229. ⟨10.1007/s11238-019-09724-5⟩. ⟨hal-03544908⟩

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